Bublik vs Medvedev: how many games will Alexander win?
On July 24, Alexander Bublik goes against Daniil Medvedev in the first round of the Olympic Games in Tokyo. What to expect from this match? Our answer is in the prediction below.
Bublik is a very talented tennis player, but his attitude prevents him from showing good results. Recently, Alexander has repeatedly stated that he hates tennis and plays only for money. However, sometimes the representative of Kazakhstan still demonstrates decent game. For example, at the beginning of this year, he played in the final of the tournament in Antalya, and then in Singapore.
Bublik's last appearance was in Newport. There he reached the semifinals, beating Ivo Karlovic and Jason Jung But in the semifinal Alexander lost to Kevin Anderson (6-4, 6-7, 5-7).
It's no secret that hard is the most convenient surface for Medvedev. The Russian tennis player has achieved the most success on hard, for example, this season he reached the Australian Open final, and in 2019 he played in the US Open final. At the moment Daniil is ranked second in the ATP world ranking.
Daniel's last tournament was Wimbledon, where he has reached the last 16. Medvedev was winning during the match but then gave the initiative to Hubert Hurkacz. This allowed the Polish player to turn the tide and win in five sets.
The opponents have played only one tie-break in the head-to-head matches.
In two out of three head-to-head matches, under 10 games were played in the first set.
Bublik is an uncompromising tennis player who makes life difficult for many opponents. But this time, we believe, he won't be able to do so. Alexander regularly loses to Daniil. They have met three times, and Medvedev easily won all three matches. On his favorite surface, the Russian should leave his opponent no chance.
Our prediction - Daniil Medvedev to win with a handicap (-4.5)
Prediction: Handicap (-4.5) to Medvedev
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Since Bublik has never won a single set against Medvedev, we suggest playing the total under. The Russian came to Tokyo to win, so he will strive to finish this match quickly.
Second prediction - total under 21.5 games