Badosa vs Kerber: prediction for the WTA Indian Wells match

Paula Badosa vs Angelique Kerber. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Indian Wells (October 15, 2021)

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa

19:00 BST
BNP Paribas Open
Indian Wells, USA
Angelique Kerber

Angelique Kerber

Badosa vs Kerber: prediction for the WTA Indian Wells match

On October 15, Paula Badosa and Angelique Kerber will face each other in the quarter-final of Indian Wells tournament. Who will record a victory in the match? The answer is in our prediction.

Paula Badosa

In recent tournaments Paula Badosa was unable to remain consistent. She reached the quarter-final of Cincinnati tournament and had high hopes for US Open. But at New York Badosa suddenly lost to Varvara Gracheva (4:6, 4:6) in the second round. She also was eliminated in the second round of Ostrava tournament by Kontaveit (3:6, 4:6). 

Badosa started the Indian Wells tournament with a difficult victory over Dayana Yastremska (6:4, 2:6, 6:2). There were some concerns about Badosa's form after that match. But after that Spanish player recorded two confident victories over Gauff (6:2, 6:2) and Krejcikova (6:1, 7:5). Will Badosa put up another successful performance in the match against an experienced Kerber?

Angelique Kerber

In four last months Kerber had only one unsuccessful tournament. At Ostrava German player was beaten in the first match by Teichmann (3:6, 2:6). 

Kerber started the Indian Wells tournament with difficult victories over Siniakova (6:1, 6:7, 7:5) and Kasatkina (6:2, 1:6, 6:4). But in the round of 16 an experienced player recorded an easy victory over Tomljanovic (6:1, 6:4). We should note that Kerber is defending ranking points for the final of 2019 tournament. 

Statistics tips

Sets performance: 1=2

In three out of six most recent matches of Badosa an equal number of games were played in first two sets

1st set: total under 9.5

In three out of five most recent matches of Kerber no more than nine games were played in the first set


We think that Kerber is underrated by the bookmakers here. Surface of Indian Wells court is a perfect fit for her style of play. Her experience helps her to improve her performance with every single match. Badosa is not consistent enough, it is a rare occasion where she puts up a good performance in a number of matches in a row. We offer to place a bet on a German player to win.

Our prediction - Kerber to win

Prediction: Kerber to win

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In two out of three matches at Indian Wells Kerber lost sets to her opponents. Badosa is also inconsistent, so we are expecting a long match.

Our second bet is on total over 21 games

Prediction: total over 21

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Tips statistics на теннис

-1.21% of revenue
4.44% of revenue


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